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Gridiron Edge

Player Props

Top-edge NFL & CFB props this week. Each pick shows the line, model side, and the edge over implied probability. Sorted by largest edge.

PlayerMarketLinePickEdge
Josh Allen
BUF
Passing Yards267.5OVER+8.3%
CMC
SF
Rush + Rec Yds118.5OVER+6.1%
Tyreek Hill
MIA
Receptions6.5OVER+5.4%
Travis Kelce
KC
Anytime TD+105YES+11.2%
Saquon Barkley
PHI
Rushing Yards82.5UNDER+4.7%
Justin Jefferson
MIN
Receiving Yards94.5OVER+7.9%
Josh Allen · Passing Yards

Pace, indoor stadium, pass-heavy script projected.

CMC · Rush + Rec Yds

Workload trending up post-bye, soft front-7 matchup.

Tyreek Hill · Receptions

Target share 28% over last 3 — projected 7.8 receptions.

Travis Kelce · Anytime TD

Red-zone target rate spiked — model implies -120.

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